Topic: UFC 301

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

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Tapology
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01.16.2024 | 10:51 AM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 301
  • Saturday 05.04.2024 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Jeunesse Arena
  • Location: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Paul Felder, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • Attendance: 14,514
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alexandre Pantoja   defeats   Steve Erceg   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
José Aldo   defeats   Jonathan Martinez   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Anthony Smith   defeats   Vitor Petrino   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   2:00 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Michel Pereira   defeats   Ihor Potieria   via Submission, Standing Guillotine Choke   0:54 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Caio Borralho   defeats   Paul Craig   via KO/TKO, Left Cross   2:10 Round 2 of 3, 7:10 Total Bout Page
Joanderson Brito   defeats   Jack Shore   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (cut on Shin)   3:35 Round 2 of 3, 8:35 Total Bout Page
Iasmin Lucindo   defeats   Karolina Kowalkiewicz   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Myktybek Orolbai   defeats   Elves Brener   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Drakkar Klose   defeats   Joaquim Silva   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mauricio Ruffy   defeats   Jamie Mullarkey   via KO/TKO, Flying Knee and Punches   4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dione Barbosa   defeats   Ernesta Kareckaite   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ismael Bonfim   defeats   Vinc Pichel   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alessandro Costa   defeats   Kevin Borjas   via KO/TKO, Punches From Back Mount   1:35 Round 2 of 3, 6:35 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 21

Rah123
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05.02.2024 | 12:31 AM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 755 Points   |   Tied for 497th

Garcia on PEDS lol
TRTor
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05.02.2024 | 12:35 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 685 Points   |   Tied for 1448th

Pantoja vs. Erceg
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R4
Kind of a fitting main event for this card. Not a bad fight but just kinda whelming. I truly hope that it ends up over delivering and I think it does have that potential. With that being said I think this is Pantoja’s fight to lose. He’s the best in the world and has cleared flyweight out basically all the way. His striking is powerful and pretty accurate despite it looking non traditional. But his grappling is where he pays the bills, he is one of the best mma grapplers on the planet without a doubt. Erceg has very sharp striking and solid movement with a great ground game but there’s levels. I think Pantoja can hurt him and transition to grappling well. Of course the champs main concern is cardio. With that being said he manages to maintain his pace despite looking tired in the later rounds but even then he wins those rounds most of the time. I just see this being too soon for Erceg, he is a very good fighter tho. I expect him to be here again

Martinez vs. Aldo
José Aldo, DEC
Love Jose. Amazing for the sport and is still kicking. His last loss in mma was to Merab so I think he’s not washed, just not what he was. Martinez is a killer, his main weapons are straight punches, knees to the liver and his trademark calf kicks. He also has outstanding takedown defense but I doubt Jose will attempt any grappling. I know he’s the older and more tenured guy by a large margin, but I actually really like Aldo here. He can very much so defend the best attacks for Martinez. He’s always had amazing leg kick and overall lower half defense. The things he’s struggled with in his career are not what Martinez is good at. That being super high volume and ability to weather the storm from Aldo. In fact when he’s lost he’s gotten slumped. So for those reasons I actually think Aldo takes this. I see him defending Martinez’s strikes and returning with deadly counters. Maybe he’ll put him away but I’ll be safe and say decision

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R3
Very obvious set up for Petrino here. Smith should be on a four fight losing streak imo but he got the knod none the less. Either way knowing that’s Ryan Spann I think that has aged horribly. Not to mention he looks worse every fight. He plots forward but he just doesn’t do much nowadays. His thing used to be just absolutely tanking damage and being more mentally tough and being a dawg in the cage. There’s none of that now from him. He looks soft in his physique and has appeared to regress on all fronts. Chin, striking, grappling you name it. I don’t see it getting better either. Petrino isn’t amazing but he improves and shows lots of life in there which Smith doesn’t seem to have. Not to mention his crazy power which could put old man Smith on the desk permanently. I’d give a slight chance at an upset but I don’t have much faith

Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
Simple one here. Ihor is ass and I think going to 185 only amplifies his issues. No cardio and especially no striking defense as a result. He’s like Jiri if Jiri was terrible kinda. Michel on the other hand has looked amazing at 185. Huge and extremely powerful still. I see this one being embarrassing for Ihor

Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, TKO, R3
Craig is entertaining but he is an automatic pick against for me. His style just isn’t gonna fair well against most good competition and Caio is no different. He may be boring but he’s good everywhere. He also is a smart fighter for the most part too so he won’t put himself in a dangerous position with Craig. Maybe finish is being too generous to Caio but I like this matchup for him


* Edited at 05.02.2024, 12:38 AM ET *

Rah123
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05.02.2024 | 4:46 AM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 755 Points   |   Tied for 497th





JReynolds47
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05.02.2024 | 6:27 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 4180th

Pereira vs. Potieria
Ihor Potieria, DEC
Ihor owns brazil

CO24
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05.02.2024 | 8:57 AM ET

Ruffy vs Mullarkey

Is there a world where Mullarky wins? I dont like Ruffy's prior competition besides on DWCS (a good win even though he was losing with 15 seconds to go). I think he beats Mullarkey more times than he doesn't but still
TruDawgz
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05.02.2024 | 10:36 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 3282nd



* Edited at 05.02.2024, 10:36 AM ET *

VicStrk
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05.02.2024 | 10:41 AM ET

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 670 Points   |   Tied for 1650th

Just saw an IG post of poatan signing something, receving fighter shorts and then shadow boxing with his toes taped up. I feel like that's supposed to mean he will fight at 301 but that doesn't make any sense to me just cuz we are already so close to the date of the event.

Does anyone know something about that ? I think this might be about a possible heavyweight fight in the next few cards.

Edit: If it's just a dumb sket. That's so ******* stupid.  

* Edited at 05.02.2024, 11:20 AM ET *

MarkoAtanasovik
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05.02.2024 | 11:34 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 1913th

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R1
Hulk

Brener vs. Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai, DEC
Prometey

Silva vs. Gomis
William Gomis, DEC
Thunderball

Frostline
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05.02.2024 | 11:44 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 730 Points   |   Tied for 736th

Pantoja vs. Erceg
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R4
It would be ******* hilarious if Erceg won but in all honesty Pantoja's probably just gonna drown him and be able to take everything that Erceg can give.

Martinez vs. Aldo
José Aldo, DEC
I could see Martinez winning but man it's hard to count out Aldo against somebody around this level. The leg kick defense is going to make a difference.

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
Vitor, just retire this guy please.

Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
Michel gonna **** **** up here

Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, DEC
Caio's a ******* monster brother

Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, TKO, R2
Brito needs a ranked shot soon the man is good

Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo, DEC
Gonna go with the one that looks like a lesbian

Brener vs. Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai, DEC
Orolbai by stinky grapple*******

Silva vs. Gomis
William Gomis, DEC
Gomis is more tested but I think Silva's got that dog in him, wouldn't be surprised for it to go either way

Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, DEC
Klose is a beast man!

Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Mauricio Ruffy, TKO, R2
Mullarkey is a can

Barbosa vs. Kareckaite
Ernesta Kareckaite, DEC
I do not care

Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim, TKO, R2
Loss to BSD isn't that bad + he's fighting a 41 year old

Costa vs. Borjas
Alessandro Costa, DEC
Costa actually has a win in the UFC.

Zion
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05.02.2024 | 12:36 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 0 Perfect, 550 Points   |   Tied for 3586th

Pantoja vs. Erceg
Alexandre Pantoja
wrestling and grappling

Martinez vs. Aldo
Jonathan Martinez
battle of leg kick

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino
youth and power

Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira
mismatch

Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho
mismatch

Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito
too much power

Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo
youth and physicalitybetter

Brener vs. Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai
better wrestling and grappling

Silva vs. Gomis
William Gomis
wise points

Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose
a little better

Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Mauricio Ruffy
by virtue of being fresh fighter

Barbosa vs. Kareckaite
Dione Barbosa
grappling advantage

Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim
mismatch

Costa vs. Borjas
Alessandro Costa
slighr advantage

graag
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05.02.2024 | 12:57 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 11 Winners, 3 Perfect, 620 Points   |   Tied for 2485th

Martinez vs. Aldo
José Aldo, DEC
I really think Aldo still has it in him, and Martinez hasnt fought anyone with the striking of Aldo. The leg kicks are nasty but I trust Aldo to be able to handle them well.

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R2
if Smith shows up he wins

ApexOfAscension
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05.02.2024 | 2:32 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 300 Points   |   Tied for 5531st

@JReynolds47 
Watch Ihor get the win everyone, just watch 😂
Oneyecrook
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05.02.2024 | 3:35 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 3457th

steve got 2 rounds to get it done
Oneyecrook
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05.02.2024 | 3:36 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 3457th

Aldo can't handle the power
Oneyecrook
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05.02.2024 | 3:38 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 1 Perfect, 555 Points   |   Tied for 3457th

Borjas will gas by the 2nd
jeffferson
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05.02.2024 | 3:59 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 630 Points   |   Tied for 2407th

How does lines on Karolina vs Lucindo make any sense?
gliese58i
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05.02.2024 | 4:08 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 505 Points   |   Tied for 4180th

Borjas v Costa fight goes the distance +125. For the flyweight division in a big cage in the UFC 70% of 3-rounders goes to a decision.
shaqalicious023
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05.02.2024 | 4:19 PM ET

Analysis and predictions video for Balkan fans

THE_GOAT_GM3
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05.02.2024 | 4:21 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 565 Points   |   Tied for 3366th

Pantoja vs. Erceg
Steve Erceg, TKO, R5
After communing with god I have decided Erceg wins this by flying arm triangle in late round. 5

Rah123
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05.02.2024 | 4:37 PM ET

JR

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 755 Points   |   Tied for 497th

Bro can we get your full picks?

I need to know who to fade

Page 21


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